It is Halloween and today represents a day for ghosts, goblins, and ghouls to
come out and scare everyone. But could there be something scarier lurking in the daylight?
There is certainly no shortage of scary stuff this year. Lead poisoned toys, fish and tea from China. Terrorist plots. The mortgage meltdown and liquidity crisis. Sagging real estate prices. Rampant foreclosures. Britney Spears. Of course, just about every year has there "fears" ranging from global warming to global cooling (remember that issue years ago?).
But today marks the most frightful day of the financial markets. Why? We have several reports coming today that are heavy hitters culminating in the release of the Fed Rate Decision and Policy Statement. Today promises to be a very scary day indeed for either the stock market, the bond market or both.
And let's not forget about inflation, or is it recession? The chances are the Feds will cut rates 25bp, though some feel it is not a sure thing. I think they will as they like to feel in control and that they are doing something to stave off the financial crisis and inflation. They will ultimately do everything in their power to encourage more borrowing and drive inflation back to the forefront.
So, the big question is about how the markets will react. Mortgage Backed Securities stand to have tremendous gains or losses today and rates will certainly change, the results will determine of homeowners get a treat, or a "trick".
(picture pulled from Blown Mortgage)
